Monday, May 23, 2005

Fallout from the compromise

I'm not to happy that Owens, Brown, and Prior are getting through. In terms of winning and losing on this issue though, this is pretty much the 2nd best outcome we could have hoped for.

The language of the compromised (extreme circumstances) is so purposefully vague that Democrats will have little problem threatening a filibuster in the future. The freepers certainly don't feel like winners. Observe the following:

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In political terms, Frist comes out of this looking the worst. He was cut off at the knees by members of his own party and failed to deliver the 100% "upordown" vote. His job of leading the Senate is going to be tougher (and he may not be able to pull the trigger the next time this comes up). John McCain will also suffer some. The charges of "RINO" from the American Taliban are going to get worse. I'd say his chance of getting the 08 nomination took a pretty big hit today. Bush obviously is a loser here. His language was almost exactly the same as Frist's. The Senate is still not a rubber stamp for his agenda.

We lost also. Those 3 mentioned above will not make good judges. Furthermore, there is the potential for Reid to lose some face here. I'm ok with that. We were only guaranteed 49 votes, and I suppose we don't know if he could've gotten us 2 more. There will be no nuclear option today, and that was our biggest victory.

Behind these judges their loomed the much bigger issue of potential Supreme Court nominees. Perhaps this was nothing more than a delay to a filibuster showdown at a later date, or maybe the President and Frist have been sufficiently spooked enough to bring another O'Conner type to the SCOTUS instead of another Scalia. More than that, we averted a dangerous precedent which might have set up those "upordown" votes on issues like Social Security.

Yikes indeed.

So in summation, I'm not exactly ecstatic, but I can settle for relieved.
-Synthesis

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